As the 2017 general election gets under way many UKIP supporters may be thinking that they need to vote Conservative to ensure that some sort of Lib/Lab/SNP/Green coalition doesn’t form and upset the Brexit apple-cart.
But in the Guardian, freelance science writer, Martin Robbins, puts paid to that idea.
He looked at all the data from the 2015 general election and concluded that even a perfectly executed pact would only have robbed the Tories of a handful of seats.
And remember that this was when Labour and the Lib Dems were both relatively strong. Being the basket cases they are today will mean their overall effect will be minimal. Then there’s the fact that they will be fighting each other over the few electoral bones they can get at.
This means that UKIP supporters can feel very secure in continuing to vote UKIP and asking others to do so too! Especially in strong Conservative seats!
The Tories will scare-monger and try to convince you otherwise, as they are desperate to remove that annoying UKIP thorn from their side, but as far as we should be concerned, the bigger the thorn the better!
Let’s look at the summary to his piece:
‘Even if a progressive coalition made any sort of political sense in a reality where Tim Farron and Nicola Sturgeon would have to prop up a guy who can’t even claim a majority of his own MPs; it would require a polling error unlike anything we’ve ever seen combined with literally an act of God for it to work.’